Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.206225 0.234429 0.264668 0.299451 0.338308 0.380328 0.429158
2026-01-18 0.170624 0.208783 0.252397 0.305758 0.369096 0.441681 0.530957
2026-01-25 0.146276 0.190770 0.244497 0.313766 0.400278 0.504298 0.638332
2026-02-01 0.123994 0.171369 0.231489 0.312716 0.418837 0.551918 0.730466
2026-02-08 0.106625 0.155408 0.220179 0.311469 0.435630 0.597249 0.821913
2026-02-15 0.092685 0.141919 0.210074 0.309918 0.450759 0.640335 0.912348
2026-02-22 0.083900 0.134352 0.206874 0.316861 0.477123 0.699320 1.027124
2026-03-01 0.074582 0.124710 0.199425 0.316546 0.492528 0.743409 1.123284
2026-03-08 0.066817 0.116409 0.192898 0.316576 0.507808 0.787550 1.221397
2026-03-15 0.060294 0.109241 0.187229 0.317072 0.523299 0.832314 1.322330
2026-03-22 0.055655 0.104592 0.184954 0.322415 0.546188 0.888937 1.443542
2026-03-29 0.052116 0.101378 0.184600 0.330594 0.573761 0.953851 1.580427
2026-04-05 0.047711 0.096276 0.180816 0.333114 0.592931 1.007721 1.704821
2026-04-12 0.044462 0.092897 0.179642 0.339864 0.619397 1.074534 1.853259
2026-04-19 0.041821 0.090351 0.179653 0.348564 0.649573 1.148849 2.017561
2026-04-26 0.038070 0.085189 0.174395 0.347349 0.662416 1.195103 2.138097
2026-05-03 0.034706 0.080392 0.169322 0.345944 0.674617 1.240654 2.259451
2026-05-10 0.031666 0.075888 0.164350 0.344221 0.685933 1.285018 2.380682
2026-05-17 0.029954 0.074013 0.164326 0.351842 0.714667 1.360866 2.559441
2026-05-24 0.027575 0.070379 0.160407 0.351490 0.728374 1.410722 2.694993
2026-05-31 0.025461 0.067083 0.156856 0.351520 0.742664 1.462138 2.835467
2026-06-07 0.023588 0.064118 0.153710 0.352064 0.757852 1.515755 2.982140
2026-06-14 0.022318 0.062443 0.153177 0.357934 0.783768 1.590273 3.170004